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"How You Know When the Economy Is in Trouble
This week the moving trucks pulled up in front of the offices of Carlyle Capital Corp, the publicly traded fund operated by the Carlyle Group. The trucks were sent in by the folks down the street at JPMorgan Chase & Co and Citigroup, among others, when Carlyle failed to meet $400 million in margin calls. The long and short was that they seized Carlyle’s assets in an attempt to squeeze what remaining value was left in the firm, yet another victim of the ballooning credit crisis.
Now, in case you are unfamiliar with Carlyle, they may be the best-connected firm in the world, boasting a current or former board of directors and major investors that include a veritable Who’s Who in the World.
Among the listed members, I found…
Former President Bush, former British Prime Minister John Major, Saudi Prince Al-Walid, George Soros, James Baker III, Colin Powell… the list literally goes on, and on.
These are, without exaggeration, among the most powerful people in the world. So why would the major NY banks, which owe so much of their success to their political connections, engage in such a distinctly unfriendly act as calling in the $400 million and, by doing so, essentially torpedo Carlyle’s fund beneath the water line?
All I can come up with is that this is a sign of the deep, deep trouble these and other institutions are in. While the heirs of JPMorgan’s carefully built empire may horribly regret the limited choices left to them, the knowledge that there are only a limited number of seats left in the life boat has guided them in their decision, I believe, to place a firm hand on the expensively coiffed head of Carlyle and shove it underwater in the scramble for safety.
David Rubenstein, a principal in Carlyle, sat for an interview with Bloomberg, in which, they report, he was heard to say…
”We have made a lot of money with, and for, these banks and this is a hiccup in a 20-year relationship. We don't think any of them have any animus [sic] toward us and we're not antagonistic toward them.“
Using our top secret Casey Quote Translator, Model X-III, we uncover that what Mr. Rubenstein was actually saying was…
“The ingrates, how dare they! Who do they think they are messing with? Oh, boy, oh boy, just wait until the next time the bastards want something from the government, any government, then we’ll make them pay! YOU HEAR ME! IT WILL BE NOTHING BUT DARKNESS AND PAIN!!”
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