GoldenLine
Zaloguj się

konto usunięte

Temat: FOREX - rozne pary walutowe/surowce

07.03.2013

How EUR/USD, GBP/USD Will Likely React To Today's CB Meetings?

We expect the euro to remain a sell as there is little scope for ECB President Draghi to turn less dovish at this week’s ECB press conference.

Both, falling manufacturing activity and inflation expectations support such a notion. Elsewhere, further improving US data is continuing to keep the greenback supported.

According to the latest ADP jobs report, the US economy added private sector jobs at a faster pace than expected. Still, investors’ main focus will be on Friday’s payrolls release.

Investors’ focus is shifting to the Bank of England policy announcement. We do not expect them to increase quantitative easing as early as this week.

According to our economists, better than expected business activity in the services sector is one factor possibly decreasing the probability for the central bank to act.

On a different note, strongly rising inflation expectations may also make a case for the BoE to keep a wait-and-see stance. Under such conditions GBP/USD will face correction risk, especially as speculative short positioning is elevated. However, from a broader perspective we expect the GBP to remain a sell on
Franek Byk edytował(a) ten post dnia 07.03.13 o godzinie 08:08
Link do wypowiedziLink

konto usunięte

Temat: FOREX - rozne pary walutowe/surowce

USD/JPY

Wedlug Deutsche Bank traderzy handlujacy para USD/JPY powinni zwracac uwage na zdarzenia wystepujace w drodze na wyzsze poziomy, ponizej lista zdarzen opracowanch przez DB


Obrazek


Uploaded with ImageShack.us
Link do wypowiedziLink

konto usunięte

Temat: FOREX - rozne pary walutowe/surowce

4,9120-30->L gbp/pl
Link do wypowiedziLink

konto usunięte

Temat: FOREX - rozne pary walutowe/surowce

Arkadiusz Mirosław Brysiak:
4,9120-30->L gbp/pl

Obrazek


Uploaded with ImageShack.us
bingo
Link do wypowiedziLink

konto usunięte

Temat: FOREX - rozne pary walutowe/surowce


Obrazek


Uploaded with ImageShack.us
Link do wypowiedziLink

konto usunięte

Temat: FOREX - rozne pary walutowe/surowce

How the US government lost $50 billion in two days on gold

The US is the country with the single-largest gold reserves at 261.5 million ounces. With gold down 13% in two trading days, the value of those reserves has fallen $51 billion — or about $160 for every American.

Total global central bank gold reserves are about 1.02 billion ounces, so around $200 billion has been destroyed in two days.


Obrazek


Uploaded with ImageShack.us

For a small country, Switzerland has particularly large gold reserves at 33.4 million ounces. The Swiss National Bank has dumped billions into the EUR/CHF trade and in two days it lost another $6 billion on gold — that’s about 1% of Switzerland’s GDP.

One thing to remember is that most of these reserves were accumulated at much lower prices so the central bank ‘trades’ are still well in the money (although you could argue the lack of yield is a loss versus inflation).

There are exceptions. Turkey and Brazil nearly doubled its gold reserves in the past year. Russia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Mexico and South Korea have also been large buyers.
Link do wypowiedziLink

konto usunięte

Temat: FOREX - rozne pary walutowe/surowce

Opcje (19.04.2013)

EUR/USD: 1.2900, 1.2925, 1.3015, 1.3030, 1.3050, 1.3060, 1.3100, 1.3170

USD/JPY: 98.00, 98.75, 98.80, 99.50(L), 100.00, 100.10

EUR/JPY: 129.50

GBP/USD: 1.5250, 1.5300, 1.5400

EUR/GBP: 0.8595

AUD/USD: 1.0250, 1.0350, 1.0355, 1.0450

USD/CAD: 1.0250, 1.0400

USD/CHF: 0.9390Franek Byk edytował(a) ten post dnia 19.04.13 o godzinie 12:57
Link do wypowiedziLink

konto usunięte

Temat: FOREX - rozne pary walutowe/surowce

How George Soros Made $60 million in just over 18 hours

Reports this morning have George Soros making a cool $60 million on his Australian dollar short in less than two days.

I’ve tried to piece together the various snippets I’ve heard.

He started the short building from just above 1.0300 on Monday and added around 1.0280.


Obrazek


Uploaded with ImageShack.us

A short time later the rumours started.

At 0430GMT on Tuesday the RBA cut its benchmark interest rate, the first move since 2012. AUD/USD slipped from around 1.0240 to below 1.0200, and thats where Soros started scaling his purchases, from just below 1.02 to 1.0165 (and thereabouts):


Obrazek


Uploaded with ImageShack.us

Best thing is, it appears he made 3 similar trades. With a trader in Hong Kong taking one of the orders, another in Singapore, and one more. The trades netted around $18 million on each, for a total reward of about $60 million.

OK, just a word of caution. Soros and his organisation are highly secretive. This is the scenario I’ve put together from what I’ve heard around the place and I don’t imagine I’ve got all the details correct. But it does give an idea of how he operated.

Oh, and $60 million is a nice return, but its pocket change for Soros, he’s has made over $1 billion being short yen over the past months!
Link do wypowiedziLink

konto usunięte

Temat: FOREX - rozne pary walutowe/surowce

Co kupuja inwestorzy japonscy...


Obrazek


Uploaded with ImageShack.us

zielony- amerykanskie obligacje skarbowe

czerwony - francuskie obligacje skarbowe

niebieski - australijskie obligacje skarboweTen post został edytowany przez Autora dnia 15.05.13 o godzinie 17:00
Link do wypowiedziLink

konto usunięte

Temat: FOREX - rozne pary walutowe/surowce


Obrazek


Uploaded with ImageShack.us
Link do wypowiedziLink

konto usunięte

Temat: FOREX - rozne pary walutowe/surowce

PROGNOZY (28.05.2013)


Obrazek


Uploaded with ImageShack.us
Link do wypowiedziLink

konto usunięte

Temat: FOREX - rozne pary walutowe/surowce

Nikkei on the slide again MAY. 30, 2013 05:42 GMT


Down around 5% at the time of writing ( recent low 13,570.30) and now firmly below the
50% retracement Peter mentioned earlier at 13873 (of the 1804-15942 rally). Below here next
level of support lies at the 13.385 level (61.8% of same).

The move’s inflicting further pain on the USD/JPY bulls with the pair hitting fresh day’s
lows around 100.56, but reports are of some fairly solid bids running into 100.50 and larger
down towards the psychological 100.00 level . Large sell stops now building on a break
of 100.00. (NB. there’s also some reasonable size option expiries today at the 100.75 level.)

USD trades around 100.70
Link do wypowiedziLink

konto usunięte

Temat: FOREX - rozne pary walutowe/surowce

Prognozy Goldman Sachs (3,6,12 months)

EUR/USD at 1.34, 1.37 and 1.40

USD/JPY at 105, 105 and 110

GBP/USD at 1.47, 1.46 and 1.49

EUR/JPY at 140.7, 143.9 and 154.0

EUR/GBP at 0.91, 0.94 and 0.94
Link do wypowiedziLink

konto usunięte

Temat: FOREX - rozne pary walutowe/surowce

Jak to widzi Morgan Stanley (27.06.2013)


Obrazek


Uploaded with ImageShack.usTen post został edytowany przez Autora dnia 03.07.13 o godzinie 08:17
Link do wypowiedziLink

konto usunięte

Temat: FOREX - rozne pary walutowe/surowce


Obrazek


Uploaded with ImageShack.us
Link do wypowiedziLink

konto usunięte

Temat: FOREX - rozne pary walutowe/surowce


Obrazek


Uploaded with ImageShack.us
Link do wypowiedziLink
« Wróć do tematów
Odpowiedz

Podobne tematy





Wyślij zaproszenie do
Anuluj