Robert
Smug
Inwestor, Trader,
Doradca Inwestycyjny
(740), MBA
Temat: NZD/USD
Dla wszystkich traderów harmonicznych mamy obecnie bardzo ciekawy układ na NZD/USD. Zdjęcia i opis pochodzą z serwisu http://fx360.comAs discussed in this morning's Live Market Analysis session, the NZD/USD is currently testing major double-top resistance based on the 2009 mid-October high of .7634. This critical level also reflects the completion of a more recent bearish butterfly pattern that has developed over this past week with an AB=CD pattern completing near 127.2% and 161.8% XA and BC extensions (see 2hr chart). This presents a solid risk/reward short near current levels with equally attractive opportunities, based on risk vs. reward, in both the near and long-term.
The shorter-term play would be to sell at current levels (.7623) with a relatively tight stop of .7660, and a target at .7520 just above the 78.6% retracement of CD. More conservative traders may look to the 38.2% retracement as an initial risk management level of .7575.
The longer term play would be to widen stops out past the .7700 handle in order to allow for a bit of wiggle room, while looking for an initial profit target near the 38.2% retracement of the longer-term double top at .7235 (more conservative traders may look to the 23.6% retracement as an initial risk management level).
Potential Short-Term Strategy: Sell at market (.7623) risking .7660 targeting .7520.
Potential Long-Term Strategy: Sell at market (.7623) risking .7720 targeting .7235
Edit: zająłem pozycję krótką 0.7611 SL 0.766 TP zobaczymy.
Edit 2: Zamknięte 0.7565Robert S. edytował(a) ten post dnia 13.10.10 o godzinie 23:47